Quantitative Finance And Risk Management: A Physicist's Approach

Chapter 27: Improved/Enhanced/Stressed VAR (Tech. Index 5/10)

In this chapter, we discuss various stages of refinements of the plain-vanilla VAR discussed in Ch. 26. Increasingly realistic aspects will be included, with the final aim to obtain a risk measure that is more useful in active risk management. The first set of improvements give what is termed in this book "Improved Plain Vanilla VAR" ( IPV-VAR). We then define a series of further improvements to produce "Stressed VAR" and finally "Enhanced/Stressed VAR" ( ES-VAR) [1]. We close with some miscellaneous topics including subadditivity issues, and also an integrated form of VAR.

Improved Plain-Vanilla VAR ( IPV-VAR)

The following table summarizes the next stage, including refinements past the PV-VAR to obtain the IPV-VAR, or Improved Plain-Vanilla VAR. These refinements are often included in current implementations of VAR.

Quantity Compared

Plain Vanilla VAR

Improved PV VAR

Convexity

Not Included

Included via Grid

Time Scale dt

Uniform (10 days)

Variable (liquidity)

Cutoffs for d tx ?

Not included

Included (Judgment)

Time Period: x ?Data

Recent (1 to 3 yrs)

Recent or Variable

We describe these improvements in the IPV-VAR one at a time.

Convexity and the Grid

Convexity exists in all option products, and even to some extent in discount factors. Convexity effects can be included in a VAR calculation if a grid of exposures is available. A given variable x ? is changed by discrete amounts to values on a grid, { x (Grid) ?}, for example x (Grid) ?

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