Cogeneration Design Guide

8.5: Conclusions

8.5 Conclusions

Table 8-26 is a comparison of the results of the three different modeling approaches. The walkthrough procedure produced the highest estimate of savings and the best payback. It did not provide adequate information for the selection of a specific system, as all options had approximately equal simple paybacks.

Table 8-26: Comparative Model Results

OPTION (NOMINAL KW)

MODELLING APPROACH

1996 SAVING ($1,000)

PAYBACK (YRS)

IRR (%)

NPV ($1,000)

1500

WALKTHROUGH

472.6

3.8

SCREENING

501.7

5.6

20.8

3,350

HOURLY

361.5

7.8

15.4

1,257

3400

WALKTHROUGH

851.5

3.9

SCREENING

869.7

4.2

26.4

6,627

HOURLY

616.1

5.9

19.6

2,792

3900

WALKTHROUGH

1,020.2

3.8

SCREENING

944.8

4.4

25.7

7,057

HOURLY

618.0

6.6

16.9

2,237

The screening approach also projected higher savings than the screening model with higher IRRs and NPVs. Based on the information available at the conclusion of the screening study, one would note that the 3,400-kW system provided the highest IRR, while the 3,900-kW system provided the highest NPV. In contrast, the hourly model clearly indicates that the 3,400-kW system would provide the highest return using either IRR or NPV.

The savings and economic measures computed using the hourly model are somewhat lower than those computed using the screening model and, depending on the relative accuracy and precision of the two studies, would be the basis for a final decision as to whether or not to proceed with development of a cogeneration system at this location.

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