Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice

PROBLEMS

Note: An asterisk (*) indicates that the problem has an accompanying Excel file on the Web page http://www.aae.wisc.edu/chavas/risk.htm.

  • *1. Consider a public choice concerning the design and financing of a project involving two individuals, i = 1, 2. The project consists in a public good x that affects the welfare of each individual and that generates uncertain returns that are redistributed to the two individuals. The investment cost is [2 x] while the investment gross return is [(8 x ? .4 x 2) e/10] where e is a discrete random variable that can take any of 10 possible values, e j = j, j = 1, 2, , 10.

  • Each individual behaves in a way consistent with the expected utility hypothesis with a utility function U i( w i, x, e) = ? exp( ? w i) ? a iexp( ? xe j ), i = 1, 2. The initial wealth w i for the i th individual is: w 1 = 1 and w 2 = 0. The preference parameter a i is: a 1 = 2 and a 2 = 1. The i th individual s subjective probability of state j is p ij = .1; i = 1, 2; j = 1, 2, , 10.

    1. Characterize a Pareto optimal design of the project, assuming that both

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