Burn-In Testing: Its Quantification and Optimization

Chapter 5: Math Models Describing the Failure Process During Burn-in and Their Parameters' Estimation

In the preceding chapter, the observed failure patterns during burn-in or in the early life period were examined and their inherent physical mechanisms were explored quantitatively. This chapter presents useful math models for the statistical description of the failure process during burn-in, and techniques for their parameters' estimation.

5.1 RELIABILITY MODELS FOR A MIXED-WEIBULL POPULATION

It has been shown [1; 2] that, if N identical components or equipment, from a mixed population which is composed of n different subpopulations, such as, N 1, N 2, ... , N n, undertake a mission of T duration, starting the mission at age zero, the reliability function for this mixed population can be expressed by

(5.1)

where



and


The probability density function, or the distribution, of the times to failure for this mixed population is given by

(5.2)

The corresponding failure rate function is given by

(5.3)

If only two subpopulations are involved, as is often the case encountered in burn-in tests, and the times to failure for each one of the subpopulations may be represented by an individual Weibull distribution, Eqs. (5.1) through (5.3) may be written as

(5.4)
(5.5)

and

(5.6)

Since only two subpopulations are considered here, then

(5.7)

5.2 BATHTUB CURVE MODELS

The bathtub curve is a very effective way of describing the life characteristics of a population during the burn-in process. In Chapter 14, Volume 1 of [1], mathematical models covering the whole reliability bathtub curve, or parts thereof, are presented and...

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