Bayesian Logical Data Analysis for the Physical Sciences

Chapter 5: Frequentist Statistical Inference

5.1 Overview

We now begin three chapters which are primarily aimed at a discussion of the main concepts of frequentist statistical inference. This is currently the prevailing approach to much of scientific inference, so a student should understand the main ideas to appreciate current literature and understand the strengths and limitations of this approach.

In this chapter, we introduce the concept of a random variable and discuss some general properties of probability distributions before focusing on a selection of important sampling distributions and their relationships. We also introduce the very important Central Limit Theorem in Section 5.9 and examine this from a Bayesian viewpoint in Section 5.10. The chapter concludes with the topic of how to generate pseudo-random numbers of any desired distribution, which plays an important role in Monte Carlo simulations.

In Chapter 6, we address the question of what is a statistic and give some common important examples. We also consider the meaning of a frequentist confidence interval for expressing the uncertainty in parameter values. The reader should be aware that study of different statistics is a very big field which we only touch on in this book. Some other topics normally covered in a statistics course like the fitting of models to data are treated from a Bayesian viewpoint in later chapters.

Finally, Chapter 7 concludes our brief summary of frequentist statistical inference with the important topic of frequentist hypothesis testing and discusses an important limitation known as the optional stopping problem.

5.2 The concept of...

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